BetOnline.ag has released betting odds for what could be the most unprecedented event in mixed martial arts (MMA0 history.
Following President Donald Trump’s announcement that he is considering hosting an Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) event at the White House to mark America’s 250th anniversary, the sportsbook created an extensive menu of creative proposition bets for the potentially historic July 4, 2026, occasion.
Newsweek has previously contacted the White House and UFC via email for comment.
Why It Matters
This potential UFC event represents an unprecedented fusion of politics and sports entertainment, forming part of Trump’s broader America 250 celebration plans.
The president’s enthusiasm for MMA, combined with his friendship with UFC President Dana White, has transformed what might seem like an outlandish idea into a legitimate possibility that’s captured betting markets and public attention.
The event would mark the first time a professional combat sports event has been held on White House grounds, potentially accommodating 20,000 to 25,000 spectators to watch the “full fight” according to Trump’s estimates.
What To Know
Speaking at the Iowa State Fairgrounds on Thursday, Trump outlined his vision for the event: “We’re going to have a UFC fight, think of this, on the grounds of the White House. We have a lot of land there.”
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed after the speech that Trump was “dead serious” about hosting the event.
A UFC official told CNN that the organization is “in discussions with the White House about hosting a UFC event on site.”
Which Fighters Could Be in the UFC White House Main Event?
Dustin Poirier leads the main event betting at 5/2 odds, followed by Max Holloway at 3/1 and Sean O’Malley at 4/1. Justin Gaethje sits at 9/2, while Sean Brady rounds out the top five at 11/2.
Notable fighters further down the list include former champions Jon Jones at 8/1 and Conor McGregor at 10/1.
Who Could Be a White House UFC Ring Girl?
The political ring girl category features GOP Alabama Senator Katie Britt as the favorite at 8/1, with Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem at 9/1 and GOP Colorado Representative Lauren Boebert at 10/1. Leavitt sits at 12/1, while members of the Trump family including Tiffany Trump (16/1) and Ivanka Trump (25/1) are also featured.
Some prominent Democrats are also listed. Former first lady Michelle Obama and former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg sit last on the list at 500/1.
Where Could the White House Octagon Be Located?
Location betting heavily favors the South Lawn at 1/2 odds, while the Tennis Court and Putting Green area sits at 5/2.
The Rose Garden carries 4/1 odds, with indoor locations like the West Wing (8/1) and East Wing (12/1) considered less likely venues.
Presidential Involvement
Betting markets show strong confidence Trump will personally present the championship belt, with “Yes” odds at 2/3 compared to “No” at 1/1.
For Trump’s first octagon appearance, dancing carries 1/2 odds while speaking on the microphone first sits at 3/2.
What People Are Saying
President Donald Trump on Thursday: “So every one of our national parks, battlefields and historic sites are going to have special events in honor of America 250. And I even think we’re going to have a UFC fight.”
Monica Crowley, the chief of protocol of the U.S., said: “We’ve had so much division and so much polarization over the last many decades, but certainly over the last few years, that to be able to bring the country together to celebrate America’s 250th birthday through patriotism, shared values and a renewed sense of civic pride, to be able to do that in the center of the country, is incredibly important.”
What Happens Next?
While officials have not confirmed a specific date or provided logistical details, the betting markets suggest confidence that the event will proceed.
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