Donald Trump’s approval rating is underwater in 15 states he won in 2024, including all seven swing states, according to analysis by The Economist.
Why It Matters
Trump flew to victory in November, winning the Electoral College in 31 states, and improving his share of the vote in every state but two.
But the latest polls signal potential vulnerability for the president.
What To Know
In key battlegrounds such as Michigan (-11), Nevada (-12), North Carolina (-8), Wisconsin (-13), Arizona (-12), Pennsylvania (-12), and Georgia (-6), Trump’s net approval rating—the percentage of voters who approve of him minus those who disapprove—is firmly negative. These battleground states were pivotal in the 2024 election but now show a troubling decline in Trump’s support.
Beyond the swing states, Trump is also underwater in other states he carried in 2024, including Texas (-8), Ohio (-6), and Utah (-5). Trump’s net approval ratings are also slightly negative in Missouri (-2), Indiana (-3), Florida (-3), Kansas (-4), and Iowa (-4). This means that in 15 states Trump carried in 2024, his net approval rating now stands below zero.
Unsurprisingly, Trump’s net approval rating is deeply negative in many Democratic-leaning states, reflecting widespread disapproval among voters in these areas. For example, D.C. (-73), California (-31), New York (-24), Maryland (-36), Massachusetts (-36), and Washington (-28) show some of his lowest net approval figures. Even smaller Democratic states such as Rhode Island (-36) and Vermont (-29) exhibit strong opposition.
However, Trump retains strong approval in more solidly Republican states, posting positive net ratings in Alabama (+12), Alaska (+10), Arkansas (+25), Kentucky (+9), and South Carolina (+16). Trump’s highest overall approval rating is in Arkansas.
The drop comes amid a broader downward trend in Trump’s approval rating in recent days, fueled by backlash to his “Liberation Day” tariffs, his hardline immigration agenda—including the mistaken deportation of Maryland resident Kilmar Ábrego García to El Salvador—and a wave of ICE raids that have sparked nationwide “No Kings” protests.
That includes Newsweek’s tracker, which shows Trump’s net approval rating at -4 points, with 47 percent approving and 51 percent disapproving. That is down from earlier this month when Trump’s net approval rating sat at -2 for more than a week.
Other polls have also shown Trump’s approval rating trending downwards.
The Economist‘s tracker shows Trump’s net approval rating at -12, down from -7 at the start of June.
And the latest YouGov/Economist poll, conducted between June 13-16 among 1,512 adults, put Trump’s approval rating at 41 percent, down 2 points since last week, with 54 percent disapproving, up 2 points.
The latest Morning Consult poll, conducted between June 13-15 among 2,207 registered voters, put Trump’s approval rating at 46 percent, down from 47 percent last week, with 52 percent disapproving, up from 51 percent.
And in the latest J.L. Partners poll, conducted on June 16-17, Trump’s approval held steady at 46 percent. But disapproval was up 11 points to 51 percent since their last poll in February. Approval also held steady in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll (June 11-16) at 42 percent, but his disapproval rose by 2 points to 54 percent.
A HarrisX/Harvard survey, on June 11-12, registered a more noticeable shift as approval slipped to 46 percent, down from 47 percent in May, while disapproval rose to 50 percent from 48 percent.
Still, a handful of polls recorded slight gains for Trump, though largely within the margin of error.
In the latest Echelon Insights poll (June 17-18) and Fox News poll (June 13-16), Trump approval rating was up 2 points, while disapproval was down by 1 point compared to last month.
And in the most recent RMG Rsearch poll, conducted between June 11-19, put his approval rating up one to 53 points, while his disapproval rating remained the same at 46 points.
What Happens Next
Trump’s approval ratings are likely to fluctuate in each state over time.
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