The United States could see its population shrink for the first time ever in 2025 as immigration numbers have plummeted, according to a report.
Net international migration to the US in 2025 could drop to as low as negative-525,000 this year, according to an analysis by the American Enterprise Institute. With a net of 519,000 births reported by the US Census last year, the US could possibly lose 6,000 people — the first population decline in nearly 250 years of American history.
AEI predicts that the net immigration into the US will fall off from about 2.8 million to between 115,000 and negative-525,000, which, even at the lower end, is still a 96 percent fall in international immigration, the Telegraph reported.
Even during the American Civil War — when some 700,000 Americans were killed — and during the COVID-19 pandemic, the US population has always increased every year, even if not significantly.
The number of immigrants in the US had already dropped for the first time in 50 years, declining by 1.4 million people in the first six months of 2025 after President Trump kicked off his second term with a major crackdown on illegal border crossings, according to the nonpartisan Pew Research Center.
The Department of Homeland Security said that 1.6 million illegal migrants have voluntarily left the US since Trump came back to office — contributing to the massive decline in the immigrant population.
Federal immigration authorities arrested more than 359,000 illegal migrants — and deported 332,000 — during the first 200 days of the second Trump administration, DHS said last month.
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